tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6606798.post2042936086045152192..comments2024-03-28T22:32:50.562+00:00Comments on Liberal England: Spring is coming earlier: Should we worry?Jonathan Calderhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00730157683743989696noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6606798.post-82049968357750588892010-02-09T23:32:02.080+00:002010-02-09T23:32:02.080+00:00I have never heard a climate scientist espouse tha...I have never heard a climate scientist espouse that view either. Which is why I said it is "a view implicit in much popular discussion".<br /><br />It would be interesting to see a study making use of naturalists' observations from earlier centuries (Gilbert White and all that).<br /><br />That might give us a better idea of how exceptional a change of 11 days is.Jonathan Calderhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00730157683743989696noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6606798.post-25643693721908211332010-02-09T23:13:16.347+00:002010-02-09T23:13:16.347+00:00Jonathan
I don't think I have ever heard a cl...Jonathan<br /><br />I don't think I have ever heard a climate scientist or anybody who's view I trusted espouse the theory you mention, although I do agree that some people may assume it is what they meant.<br /><br />The problem with climate change is not that the climate is getting warmer, as you say that is natural, it is the speed at which it is occurring. Spring occurring 11 days earlier is of course not a problem, systems can function perfectly well whenever spring happens, but spring shifting its position so rapidly is a problem. An 11 day shift in the life time of a single organism (viz you) is not normal, and it is troubling. Of course Darwinian evolution can sort itself out, but only if there are enough generations in between for a new stable equilibrium to be selected, and that may not be happening right now (or at least not with long lived things like mamils and trees, mosquito's and influenza will probably cope just fine thank you very much!)Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11578786565904613285noreply@blogger.com