Monday, October 21, 2024

Nate Silver's 24 reasons why Donald Trump may win

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Judging by my Twitter feed, British liberal opinion is unanimous in the view that Donald Trump, as well as exhibiting increasing signs of senility and having an unpleasant smell about him, is bound to lose next month's election.

As a corrective to this unwarranted optimism, here's a link to a piece by Nate Silver giving 24 reasons why he may win:
This election remains extremely close, but Donald Trump has been gaining ground. One of my pet peeves is with the idea that this is Kamala Harris’s election to lose. I could articulate some critiques of her campaign, but if you study the factors that have historically determined elections, you'll see that she’s battling difficult circumstances.
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1 comment:

  1. David Evans23 October, 2024 11:41

    Hi Jonathan, if your Twitter feed of British Liberal Opinion does believe Donald trump is bound to loose, they still haven't learned the lessons of Brexit, or coalition for that matter.

    Trump is a mouth with a megaphone, little more and little less, but he, like Farage, is very successful. The question we all need to answer is whether we want to be right or do we want to win?

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