Friday, July 05, 2024

Those Lib Dem targets for the next general election in full

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Michael Mullaney, who was our candidate in Hinckley and Bosworth on Thursday, has tweeted a list of the Liberal Democrat near misses at this election. They form a handy list of targets for the next election.

The second column gives the number votes we were adrift of the winner, and the third the percentage swing needed to win it next time. It is this latter figure that determines a seat's ranking in the list.

All these seats are held by the Conservatives except Burnley, which is held by Labour.


                                                                         %

Godalming and Ash                         891         0.81

Farnham and Bordon                     1349        1.27

Hampshire East                              1275        1.27

Shropshire South                            1624        1.57

Dorset North                                   1589        1.60

Romsey and Southampton North    2191        2.19

Cotswold North                               3357        3.34

Torridge and Tavistock                    3950        3.89

Burnley                                            3420        4.31

Hamble Valley                                 4802        4.35

Hertfordshire South West                4456        4.62

Salisbury                                          5285        5.27

Buckinghamshire Mid                      5872        5.44

Sevenoaks                                       5440       5.45

Hinckley and Bosworth                    5408       5.66


When I blogged about Gordon Birtwistle, who was our candidate in Burnley having been MP for the town between 2005 and 2010, I wondered about his claim that the contest was between him and Labour, But he turned out to be quite right.

3 comments:

nigel hunter said...

WE HAAVE TO STRENGTHEN THE SEATS WE HAVE AND AIM FOR THESE TARGET SEATS. i NOTE REFORM HAS COME 2ND IN MANY CONSTITUENCIES.HOW DO WE START NULLIFYING THE RISE OF AN ALT RIGHT PARTY THAT MAY BE EMBOLDEND BY A TRUMP WIN?

Anonymous said...

That's an interesting list. Do you happen to know how successful the Lib Dems were in attacking their target seats this time? I know that (for example) Godalming and Ash was a near miss, but what about any others? And also, which was the least expected gain on the night (according to the previous polling numbers, not according to the local activists!)

Jonathan Calder said...

As far as I can see, Godalming and Ash was the only target seat we didn't win on Thursday. It was a remarkable performance.