Monday, October 21, 2024

Nate Silver's 24 reasons why Donald Trump may win

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Judging by my Twitter feed, British liberal opinion is unanimous in the view that Donald Trump, as well as exhibiting increasing signs of senility and having an unpleasant smell about him, is bound to lose next month's election.

As a corrective to this unwarranted optimism, here's a link to a piece by Nate Silver giving 24 reasons why he may win:
This election remains extremely close, but Donald Trump has been gaining ground. One of my pet peeves is with the idea that this is Kamala Harris’s election to lose. I could articulate some critiques of her campaign, but if you study the factors that have historically determined elections, you'll see that she’s battling difficult circumstances.

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